Iran, Ahmedinejad, Mussawi where does the profit from oil sales end up.

It may have been a scenario like this, a speculation-al fairy tale.
19 hundred so and so, I was in Teheran during Imam Khomeinis rule. The leaders of many institutions , which we visited in Teheran, have been replaced by young Islamic intellectuals full of power and hope, they had our sympathy and admiration. On the other hand on the streets the revolutionary guards, on Japanese Motorcycles with their Kalashnikovs, smoking Marlboro cigarettes, embodying the Iranian version of Rambo. There was still fear in the streets, suspicion, conspiracy and an "unfinished business".

One day our truck was sized by the revolutionary guards, after the check finished and no bomb was found, we got the permit to park the truck in front of the Austrian Cultural Institute. In an attempt to meet Khomeini we drove up the hill in Teheran, where a gated community lives, filled with the clerical and political elite. Today I am sure it would be impossible to see in person the clerics in charge, which swam in dollars and gold like Donald Duck's old uncle . The years passed and as other examples of state and religious history, two power groups emerged, the old and the new. The old wanted to keep the power, the new went for more. I speculate, that Ahmedinejad has not grown out of the old power base, he is part of the newcomers and has his own agenda.

In year 2009 two government groups went out of balance and control, the traditionalists represented by Rafsanjany and his front runner Mussawi and the newcomers represented by Ahmedinejad and his revolutionary guards. The newcomers have grown to XXXL size and they needed more money to keep their system alive.

Ahmedinejad may even not be part of the clerical cast, he just accepts them and uses them for his own purpose, he is backed up by the revolutionary guards and the Basijis which are the only two groups which carry weapons, beside police and army. Now the game is on, who is controlling the waves of cash which are swept in, from the daily sales of oil. As in many societies the two power groups which are battling for the control of the state businesses are kept under an umbrella from a third power. It seams that in Iran there is no such regulatory power at the moment, which is able to intervene. In Iran's case, the question is, on which side the army stand's, until now the army is in hiding, waiting who will be the winner.

People are often unknowingly misused for sorting out such a power games, often the crowd is projecting more and different causes onto one. The ball is rolling, between the two groups, between all. I can imagine that the clerics ignored for long these two groups and it erupted just now, during the election 2009. The clerics may thought it's good that two groups are fighting against each other, it keeps us out, we wait till the most powerful emerges and than we bless. As long the whole game happened on the table and behind the curtain all was OK, but the whole fight went out of the offices of the bureaucrats and hit the streets, inflamed long frustrated dreams and expectations.

The Ahmedinejad group was suddenly to powerful and the struggle begun. The struggle of the upper and middle class against the lowest class. The lowest class is Ahmedinejad, the Basijis and the Revolutionary guards, they come mostly from the provinces, from outside the big cities. Mussawi is an architect and part of the middle class, director of the art college in Teheran. On one hand it is a class struggle and on other hand two groups fight for there monopoly to control the cash from the oil sales. Who gets the cash, the clerics, the politicians, the business community or the cash is invested in society upgrades?

I said in the beginning this is just a speculation, the struggle on the streets got an additional context, a young generation which is just sick of being dictated by a old man nomenclature. Iran was always different compared to their neighbours, like Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Turkey, more westernised more modern, the Ajjaotllas brought parts of the society back to ancient times. I have always wondered how that will work out. Interestingly Iran is after Thailand the 2nd country in the world with the most sex change operations, being homosexual is punished by dead sentence.

What so ever class is out on the streets, they have my sympathy and there is no justification to kill and injure people from the side of an administration. What I ask myself, if in the so called democratic west, such quantities of people demonstrating against a decision, what would happen, do you think the same?