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Is civil war inevitable, 7th episode of Thailand's Democracy


If you Farangs or non Farangs think, the Thais are a peaceful race, you do not know them. In my opinion deep inside they must have been in former times, pirates. Thais can be so aggressive that you rather would wish, not to know this. 25 years ago when I was first time in Thailand as a young chap, we have been invited to a party of the Police chef of Chiangmai. In such a party naturally both sides, the god and the bad celebrate. After hours of drinking and eating, talking, dancing and yelling, something sparked the guns out of the pockets, the party was on a brink to turn into a massacre, faces changed into hatred and anger. The lovely smile we Farangs love on the faces of the Thais was suddenly gone.

The major opponents in this current red and yellow shirt game, have radicals on there side, until now they are under control or they wait. But radicals are not interested in talking they want the fight. They want the hard fight, they see the ultimate fight as the only solution. Lot of activist of both sides have active war experience, fighting in the jungles. In the redshirt headquarter you see them sometimes pooping up, they are looking out for infiltrators and are part of the security group, well trained and ready to go.

The question here is, is a civil war the logical consequent, because the stakes are high. Basically the issue is and by now everyone knows, a system change and system changes are not always peaceful. If thinks go out of control, and thinks go easy out of control in such a huge operation.
Today the read shirt caught 2 infiltrators, young boys, in there faces was clear written "we do not care", they are the typical desperate faces of the young male unemployed, who basically are ready for minimal cash to kill whom ever you pay for.

The German Nick Nostitz, covers the red shirt movement for 5 years. His most recent book is Red vs Yellow: Thailand's Crisis of Identity, published by White Lotus Press in 2009. Mr. Nostitz told me, that they are already now, red provinces where no government person can enter, even not the queen. The governors have bodyguards from the official police, the police is predominantly red.

On the end I have to say clearly, I am sure that some thinks which I have written. I have mixed up, because of misunderstanding, in an laud location and wrong interpretation. If you have some correction please leave them in the comment section.

But overall I have enjoyed being part of the rally for some days. A sentence a Thai lady from the international UDD support office said to me: "we know but we do not want to say", Lèse majesté.

I left the rally tired today, back to my apartment. I wish the Thais will find a discursive solution and an solution based on facts and that the guns remain silent, and continue to sleep in there weapon cashes.

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